Here's my attempt at a blogger's minute. After calculating the Yankees' odds at the playoffs a few different times and giggling, something dawned upon me:
Everyone’s enjoying the Yankees’ demise, right? They’re hovering around .500, 10 plus games back in the AL East and banking on a late addition to be their savior and turn their season around. Baseball Prospectus thinks their odds of making the playoffs are around 25%, not surprising, considering they need to play .625 ball to get the 92 wins they’ll likely need for a playoff spot.
Of course, you could say the same thing about the Twins. They’re hovering around .500, 6.5 games back in the AL Central, and are banking on a late addition to be their savior and turn their season around. Whether that savior is Kevin Slowey, Scott Baker, Matt Garza or some to be determined slugger, I’m not sure yet. No matter who it is, however, that savior better work some magic, since the Twins are in the same boat as the Yankees, needing to play better than .600 ball the rest of the year in order to have a shot at the playoffs.
So while you’re gleefully writing off the Yankees’ playoff hopes, you might not want to get too excited, since the Twins are in a similar situation.